Can you put a number on it?

How far can common sense take us in the field of statistics? At first glance, not very. The discipline may be vital but it is also highly technical, and full of pitfalls and counterintuitions. Statistics can feel like numerical alchemy, incomprehensible to muggles —...

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What I’ve been reading

Annie Duke, How To Decide. A workbook that talks through all the essentials of decision theory & behavioural science - the outside view vs the inside view; analysis paralysis, pre-mortems, "resulting" - while offering exercises & and self-tests. This is a book...

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My talk at Oxford’s Mathematical Institute

I spoke this week "at" Oxford's Mathematical Institute; a great honour in the same week that one of Oxford's finest, Roger Penrose, won a Nobel prize. Enjoy! My NEW book How To Make The World Add Up is OUT NOW! Details, and to order...

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