Tim Harford The Undercover Economist

Highlights

From the geeks who took over poker to the nuclear safety experts who want to prevent the next banking meltdown, these are my favourite long-form articles.

Nudges are for markets not nations

There is no idea so good that it cannot be spoilt by politicians, and such a fate is now befalling libertarian paternalism – recently rebranded as “nudging”. Libertarian paternalism is a conscious effort to help people make better choices without forbidding anything. It embraces anything from assuming that you would like to contribute to a company pension unless you say otherwise, to placing the doughnuts in a quieter corner of the supermarket.

The concept, courtesy of two US professors, Richard Thaler and Cass Sunstein, deserves attention because it is a thoughtful response to a deep policy problem. It has been seized instead by David Cameron’s opposition Conservative party in the UK as a free lunch, sound bite and flag of convenience all rolled into one. Continue →

27th of August, 2008HighlightsOther WritingComments off

Bargains that aren’t

First published: Parade Magazine, 13 July 2008

Not everything that seems like a bargain will really end up saving you money. Luckily, behavioral economists are finding the gimmicks and tricks that regularly lure us to spend more. Read this—and don’t get caught!

ANYTHING YOU BUY ON CREDIT
Putting a purchase on a credit card with a zero interest rate may seem like a good deal, but you’re less likely to shop frugally when you’re using it—or any kind of credit card. MIT researchers Drazen Prelec and Duncan Simester ran an experiment in which two groups of subjects were allowed to bid on tickets to sporting events. One group had to pay in cash within 24 hours, the other with a credit card. The credit-card group offered much more for the tickets—and more than twice as much for a sold-out game. Other studies suggest that people who pay with plastic spend more and tend to forget how much they spent. Continue →

20th of July, 2008HighlightsOther WritingComments off

An anti-stagflation strategy: move back home

For us, the financial journalists, the credit squeeze is a lot of fun to write about. For you, the honest newspaper subscriber, it may not be so much fun to read about. This stagflation business – inflation and low growth all at once – is so depressing. You cannot look to the authorities for comfort. Your government blew all the cash in the good times, unless you happen to live in the Gulf or in China. Your central bank, desperately trying to sound both sympathetic and hawkish, is changing position more frequently than a presidential election candidate. Continue →

28th of June, 2008HighlightsOther WritingComments off

Rational or Irrational?

“”But that’s rational!” spluttered one venerable journalist, when I told him about this. Well, yes–it seems so, doesn’t it?”

An extract from my debate with Dan “Predictably Irrational” Ariely.  It’s the first debate to be hosted by Amazon’s “Omnivoracious” Blog – check it out.

17th of April, 2008HighlightsMarginaliaComments off

See me torn to shreds by Stephen Colbert

I have a new video section on the site; notable links include a serious talk at Google and a not-so-serious appearance on The Colbert Report. More reviews are coming in, too.

2nd of February, 2008HighlightsMarginaliaComments off

Rewarding losers

The Logic of LifeI have a piece up at Forbes in part inspired by chapter 8 of “The Logic of Life”. It asks why governments are so determined to back losers rather than winners in industrial policy:

There’s a more sinister logic behind the pattern of government favoritism. Namely, firms in emerging, competitive industries have virtually no incentive to lobby for government hand-outs, while firms in aging, shrinking industries have the most to gain. Continue →

Waterstones Book Quarterly: The Logic of Life

The Logic of LifeFirst published in Waterstones Book Quarterly

Life often seems to defy logic. When a prostitute agrees to unprotected sex, or a teenage criminal embarks on a burglary, or a heavy drinker downs another whiskey, we seem to be a million miles from rational behaviour. None of it makes any sense – or does it?
Using some remarkably clever techniques and imaginative perspectives, a bold new breed of economists is busily demonstrating that life makes more sense than anyone would have thought. Using every clue that comes to hand, from a laboratory brain scan to the hidden patterns in old maps, they are discovering that there is a surprisingly rational basis to the seemingly irrational world around us. Continue →

Cash for answers

Feature story, FT Magazine, 26 January 2008

In 1737, John Harrison, a self-taught clockmaker from Yorkshire, stunned London’s scientific establishment by presenting an idiosyncratic solution to the most important and notorious technological problem of the 18th century. He was hoping to win a then-fabulous prize of £20,000 (about £5m today) for anyone who could devise a way for a ship’s navigator to determine its longitude and therefore its position at sea. Harrison’s approach was to build a clock that would keep Greenwich time faithfully; by comparing local time (measured using the position of the sun) with the time in London, the navigator would know how far east or west the ship had sailed. The theory was sound, but given the rolling of ships and changing temperature and humidity, the leading scientists of the day – including Sir Isaac Newton – reckoned that a sufficiently accurate clock would be impossible to build. Harrison proved otherwise.

The longitude prize, sponsored by the British government, was not unique. Prizes were also offered in France for a functional water turbine, and for a method of preserving food for Napoleon’s armies. The latter prize quickly inspired the tin can, more of a blessing than food snobs might acknowledge.

But such prizes then fell out of fashion. For commercial innovations, we now rely on patents to encourage and protect innovators. Basic research is funded not by prizes but by grants.

And yet two centuries after tinned fish hit the market, the way we look for solutions has come full circle. Governments, private foundations and even corporations are rediscovering the value of offering prizes for good ideas. Rather than paying for scientific and engineering effort as they have done for the past 200 years, idea-hungry patrons are returning to the 18th century, and paying for results. Continue →

The Logic of Life in the Times

The Times (London) has published two nice extracts from the Logic of Life, plus me reading from the book. Continue →

Wired: How Email Brings You Closer to the Guy in the Next Cubicle

As a columnist (which is fancy for “journalist in jammies”), I ought to personify the conventional wisdom that distance is dead: All I need to get my work done is a place to perch and a Wi-Fi signal. But if that’s true, why do I still live in London, the second-most expensive city in the world? Continue →

Previous Next

Elsewhere

  • 1 Twitter
  • 2 Flickr
  • 3 RSS
  • 4 YouTube
  • 5 Podcasts
  • 6 Facebook

Books

  • Adapt – Hardcover Edition
  • Dear Undercover Economist – Paperback Edition
  • The Logic of Life – Paperback Edition
  • The Undercover Economist – Paperback Edition

Search by Keyword

Tim's Tweets