A handbag away from our debt ceiling
“Mum?”
“Yes, dear?”
“What do you and Dad keep arguing about late at night?”
“You should be asleep. When Daddy and I have our little chats, it’s past your bedtime.”
“Mum, I’m 15 – a bit old for bedtime. Anyway, I usually ignore your arguments but this one seems important.”
“Well, it is important. We are debating whether to raise the family’s debt ceiling.”
“Debt ceiling?”
“It’s the limit on what we can borrow.”
“Doesn’t the bank manager decide that?”
“Yes, ultimately Mr Foss-Smythe can refuse to lend money to us. But your father and I have a different system. For years and years, we’ve taken a solemn vow never to let our household borrowing exceed £500 without both of us explicitly agreeing to raise the limit.”
“So you were arguing about whether to borrow more than £500?”
“Darling, we’ve already borrowed £500,000. Houses aren’t cheap these days, even in Hackney. The point is that your father and I agreed each time we needed to raise the debt ceiling. But now we can’t agree. Your father wants me to cut back on my spending, or he won’t agree.”
“So, what happens if he doesn’t agree?”
“Then we have to ensure that our household debt doesn’t go over £500,000.”
“Fine. £500,000 is a lot of money. Dad has a point. You buy too many handbags.”
“But darling, the handbags aren’t the point here!”
“Aren’t they?”
“Well, perhaps they are a bit. But even if I did stop buying handbags, we’d still go over the limit. Look – ever since I lost my job I’ve been looking for a new one. I’m sure it’s just a matter of time. But until then our income is depleted.”
“So – stop buying handbags, Mum!”
“It’s not that easy. The percentage of household income spent on handbags has been considerably exaggerated by your weaselly father. Far more important is the mortgage. If we stop the payments, we lose the house.”
“But you’re not actually borrowing more money to pay the mortgage, are you?”
“Actually, we are. We’re taking out loans and using credit cards to pay the mortgage. There are also the payments on the car, your school fees and the money we promised to send every month to Grandma.
“And then there’s stuff like food and electricity – we haven’t promised anybody that we’ll spend that money but life would get pretty difficult if we didn’t. Without my salary, our spending is inevitably higher than our income.”
“Wow. So Dad wants us to do something really drastic?”
“Well – no, not really. He’s just using the debt ceiling as a bargaining chip. We agreed all of this spending and set out the whole budget a few months ago.”
“Was that before you lost your job?”
“No, that was after.”
“Mum, I’m confused. You and Dad knew what your income was going to be and you agreed all the spending. So, basically, you agreed spending that would guarantee that you’d break through the debt ceiling. So you’ve agreed to exceed the debt ceiling.”
“Yes – we agreed to exceed the debt ceiling. But we haven’t agreed to raise it. That’s the problem.”
“But that doesn’t make any sense!”
“It doesn’t matter that it doesn’t make any sense. The point is he has bargaining power now.
“The next mortgage payment is due on August 2; that’s also the same day we send money to Grandma. If he hasn’t specifically approved for us to go overdrawn on our joint account, we have to choose: Grandma doesn’t get paid, or we go hungry, or we skip the mortgage payment.”
“But you have the overdraft limit?”
“Oh yes. In fact we have the overdraft limit agreed with Mr Foss-Smythe. The same bank we have the mortgage with.”
“And he’s happy to lend you the money?”
“Delighted, darling.”
“So he’ll be happy if you borrow money from your current account to pay the mortgage, but not if you just skip the mortgage.”
“Exactly. He will be very unhappy. I’m surprised he’s not more nervous already.”
“Perhaps he should be more nervous that you don’t have a job and that you and Dad are spending far more than you earn, than about some entirely arbitrary debt ceiling that the two of you can agree to waive at any moment?”
“You may be right.”
“Where is Dad, anyway?”
“I think he’s buying himself a treat to relieve the stress.”
Also published at ft.com.





12 Comments
bassma says:
amazzzing article .thumbs up
23rd of July, 2011salahuddin says:
very well explained. truly frightening how myopic we were to get into such a situation.
23rd of July, 2011gee says:
it’s a house keeping issue. do it or lose the house. very good.
23rd of July, 2011nick says:
…and then the Greek ecomomy collapses followed by Portugal, the Euro Zone totters, the value of the Canadian dollar drops as money returns to traditional safe-haven, we continue to ship record lumber and other resources to the Pacific Rim but at half value, the house drops to less than half what you currently owe on it, your husband is ‘downsized’ you walk away from the mortgage because of the cost of handbags and maintenance cost of off-lease BMWs, an investor from overseas purchases your home for half of what you paid for it with 10% down in 62 cent CDs and rents it back to you at about a non-Gucci handbag value less than you were paying on the mortgage.
23rd of July, 2011Mark says:
Oh please, do tell us how it ends!
23rd of July, 2011Andrew Farrell says:
I’m curious what the analogy of the handbag in this example is.
23rd of July, 2011Carol says:
Oh, please tell us there will be a sequel.
25th of July, 2011Flora Steele says:
Not quite.
We have 200B coming in each month. Mortgage payment/interest = 39B. Grandmother gets 50B. Soldiers I forget how much. But these three priorities just add up to about half the monthly income.
So you pay these three, and postpone some other bills, and skip eating out and handbags for a while.
Or, you raise the silly limit already, and stop blaming Grandma for the fact that Dad borrowed from her Trust Fund and doesn’t want to pay it back.
26th of July, 2011Flora Steele says:
Forgot. You also get Dad to pay a little more of his own coupon-clipping money into the family budget (ie raise taxes on the high brackets).
Remember his other hand is collecting most of the interest on that Family Debt. And banking it in Switzerland.
26th of July, 2011ctaya says:
At the end of the day, mom will get her handbag. Mortgage will be paid on time. Father will go to the pub to have a drink. Daugther will continue to drive her BMW. Everything will be just fine and they will all live happily ever after in this virtual world.
28th of July, 2011By the way, have you got your iPad?
Julio Jose Prado says:
Brilliant Tim. Finally someone points out that the real problem ins’t the debt ceiling…
28th of July, 2011dave says:
Donald \trump weighs in on the debt crisis says china is stealing jobs from the usa contrary to what mr harford says in the undercover economist
http://www.cnbc.com/id/43946568
31st of July, 2011