The Future of Aid: Scenarios
The ‘Future of Aid‘ project continues with two short scenarios.
The Undergrowth presents a world where booming remittances and private investment, put to innovative uses, eclipse a slow-moving official aid industry.
The Big Push describes an alternative in which the official industry goes through a revolution in reaction to falls in the number of people in severe poverty and the growing ability of poor countries to borrow from the market.
Other short papers on the Future of Aid page discuss the implications of growing competition in the aid industry, and what we know about the performance of donors (not enough).